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Are Tax Cuts Contractionary at the Zero Lower Bound? Evidence from a Century of Data

Popular New Keynesian macroeconomic models predict that cuts in various types of distortionary taxes are contractionary when monetary policy is constrained at the zero lower bound …

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Who Gains from Corporate Tax Cuts?

Goods producers increase their capital expenditure and employment in response to a cut in marginal corporate income tax rates or an increase in investment tax credits. In contrast, …

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Taxes and Growth: New Narrative Evidence from Interwar Britain

The impact of fiscal policy on economic activity is still a matter of great debate. And, ever since Keynes first commented on it, interwar Britain, 1918–39, has remained a …

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Monetary Policy, Corporate Finance, and Investment

In response to a change in interest rates, younger firms not paying dividends adjust both their capital expenditure and borrowing significantly more than older firms paying …

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Do Tax Increases Tame Inflation?

The answer is ``yes'' for personal income taxes but ``no'' for corporate income taxes. Using narrative-identified US federal tax changes post-World War II and disaggregated …

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The COVID-19 Economic Crisis

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COVID-19 and the Economy

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Estimating the Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution Using Mortgage Notches

Using a novel source of quasi-experimental variation in interest rates, we develop a new approach to estimating the Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution (EIS). In the U.K., the …

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