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James Cloyne

Monetary and Financial Spillovers: New Historical Evidence from Germany

Using newly identified exogenous variation in German monetary policy from 580 policy meetings between 1974 and 1998, we provide new evidence on the role of the exchange rate regime …

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Short-Term Tax Cuts, Long-Term Stimulus

We study the macroeconomic effects of corporate income taxes on innovation and productivity in the United States. Using narrative-identified tax changes from 1950 to 2019, we find …

james-cloyne

Are Tax Cuts Contractionary at the Zero Lower Bound? Evidence from a Century of Data

Popular New Keynesian macroeconomic models predict that cuts in various types of distortionary taxes are contractionary when monetary policy is constrained at the zero lower bound …

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Who Gains from Corporate Tax Cuts?

Goods producers increase their capital expenditure and employment in response to a cut in marginal corporate income tax rates or an increase in investment tax credits. In contrast, …

james-cloyne

Taxes and Growth: New Narrative Evidence from Interwar Britain

The impact of fiscal policy on economic activity is still a matter of great debate. And, ever since Keynes first commented on it, interwar Britain, 1918–39, has remained a …

james-cloyne

Monetary Policy, Corporate Finance, and Investment

In response to a change in interest rates, younger firms not paying dividends adjust both their capital expenditure and borrowing significantly more than older firms paying …

james-cloyne

Do Tax Increases Tame Inflation?

The answer is ``yes'' for personal income taxes but ``no'' for corporate income taxes. Using narrative-identified US federal tax changes post-World War II and disaggregated …

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State-Dependent Local Projections: Understanding Impulse Response Heterogeneity

An impulse response is the dynamic average effect of an intervention across horizons. We use the well-known Kitagawa-Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition to explore a response’s …

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